Louisville City 3-1 Fort Wayne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.8pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.7pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Fort Wayne EU Bookmakers 12%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs Fort Wayne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City saw off Fort Wayne 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs Fort Wayne?

Louisville City 3-1 Fort Wayne in the USLKP on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs Fort Wayne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 64%, draw 20%, Fort Wayne 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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