Richmond Kickers 1-2 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 26 Apr 2026

📅26/04/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.59 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 Passes 331
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-3 HT 1-2 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
27.07.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USLKP
16.03.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
27.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.09.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence edged past Richmond Kickers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.67 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence?

Richmond Kickers 1-2 Charlotte Independence in the USLKP on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 33%, draw 26%, Charlotte Independence 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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