Charlotte Independence 3-0 Richmond Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USLKP, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte Independence
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Richmond Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 1.23
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 410
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
27.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.09.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
02.04.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
19.03.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
POST-MATCH Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence swept aside Richmond Kickers 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 0.67 for Richmond Kickers.

What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?

Charlotte Independence 3-0 Richmond Kickers in the USLKP on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Richmond Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 47%, draw 21%, Richmond Kickers 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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