Lexington vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
3-2
HT 3-1
Lexington
USL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Forward Madison
USL1
Lexington saw off Forward Madison 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lexington as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lexington and 1.80 for Forward Madison.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Forward Madison?
Lexington 4-2 Forward Madison in the USLKP on 26/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Forward Madison?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lexington 56%, draw 20%, Forward Madison 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lexington), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.