Richmond Kickers 2-3 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 21 Sep 2025

Richmond Kickers
2-3 HT 1-2
Charlotte Independence
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2025

Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.49
No
34%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
43%
Away Win
38%
+5.2pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-7.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+7.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
63%
+2.8pp
34%
BTTS No
37%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Richmond Kickers v Charlotte Independence — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Richmond Kickers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.30/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.49
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.4 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0

Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Richmond Kickers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
400 Passes 311
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.07.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-0 HT 1-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USLKP
16.03.2025 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
27.10.2024 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
15.09.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 0-1 HT 0-0 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers USL1
16.07.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 2-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
02.04.2023 Richmond Kickers Richmond Kickers 1-2 HT 1-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1

Richmond Kickers 2-3 Charlotte Independence — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Richmond Kickers
2-3
AWAY Charlotte Independence
2.45 xG 1.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
459 Passes 307
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
35 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte Independence squeezed past Richmond Kickers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Richmond Kickers had 58% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 42%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.45 to 1.92 — the balance of chances actually favoured Richmond Kickers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte Independence led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Richmond Kickers and 1.50 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence?

Richmond Kickers 2-3 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Richmond Kickers vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Richmond Kickers 37%, draw 20%, Charlotte Independence 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte Independence) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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