Çekya 1-2 Türkiye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 26 Jun 2024

Çekya
1-2 HT 0-0
Türkiye
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

Çekya vs Türkiye Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.48
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.17
X/2
12%
5.87
X/X
15%
4.3
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.18
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çekya v Türkiye — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çekya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Türkiye EU Bookmakers 37%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.89/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.60
+116% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Çekya vs Türkiye Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çekya
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Türkiye
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.51 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
349 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 16
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Türkiye Türkiye 2-1 HT 1-0 Çekya Çekya HAZ
10.10.2015 Çekya Çekya 0-2 HT 0-0 Türkiye Türkiye AVŞE
10.10.2014 Türkiye Türkiye 1-2 HT 1-1 Çekya Çekya AVŞE
06.02.2013 Türkiye Türkiye 0-2 HT 0-2 Çekya Çekya HAZ
22.05.2010 Türkiye Türkiye 2-1 HT 1-0 Çekya Çekya HAZ
15.06.2008 Türkiye Türkiye 3-2 HT 0-1 Çekya Çekya AVR

Çekya 1-2 Türkiye — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çekya
1-2
AWAY Türkiye
1.62 xG 1.46
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
160 Passes 447
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 11
POST-MATCH Çekya vs Türkiye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye squeezed past Çekya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Türkiye made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Çekya had 32% of the ball to Türkiye's 68%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.62 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Türkiye led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Çekya and 1.67 for Türkiye.

What was the final score of Çekya vs Türkiye?

Çekya 1-2 Türkiye in the Euro on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çekya vs Türkiye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çekya win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Çekya 38%, draw 29%, Türkiye 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Çekya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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