Ukrayna 0-0 Belçika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 26 Jun 2024

Ukrayna
0-0 HT 0-0
Belçika
📅26/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

Ukrayna vs Belçika Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
51%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
3.35
6+ Goals
8%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
15%
8.29
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
9%
10.6
X/2
24%
3.88
X/X
10%
5.27
2/1
4%
55.0
2/2
20%
2.05
2/X
4%
15.1
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.29 — our 15% vs market 8.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+9.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.4pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ukrayna v Belçika — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ukrayna EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Belçika EU Bookmakers 61%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
0.02/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.58/0.08
-98% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
19.0 Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ukrayna 0-0 Belçika — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ukrayna
0-0
AWAY Belçika
0.82 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
313 Passes 493
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ukrayna vs Belçika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ukrayna and Belçika fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Belçika at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Ukrayna had 40% of the ball to Belçika's 60%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.82 to 0.88.

What was the final score of Ukrayna vs Belçika?

Ukrayna 0-0 Belçika in the Euro on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ukrayna vs Belçika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Belçika win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ukrayna 28%, draw 22%, Belçika 51%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Belçika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Belçika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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