Slovakya 1-1 Romanya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
50%
2.37
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
2.09
No
34%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
1.94
2-3 Goals
46%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
6.99
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.76
1/2
4%
58.0
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
10.45
X/1
4%
6.19
X/2
4%
8.34
X/X
32%
2.45
2/1
4%
47.0
2/2
11%
6.11
2/X
4%
11.2
Value flag · 1/X at 10.45 — our 14% vs market 6.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.3pp
50%
Draw
40%
+9.7pp
18%
Away Win
25%
-6.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
66%
BTTS Yes
44%
+21.9pp
34%
BTTS No
56%
-21.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya EU Bookmakers 27%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.61/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.08
-14% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovakya
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Romanya
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.08.2013 Romanya Romanya 1-1 HT 1-0 Slovakya Slovakya HAZ
09.02.2005 Romanya Romanya 2-2 HT 1-2 Slovakya Slovakya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya
1-1
AWAY Romanya
0.86 xG 1.19
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
344 Passes 225
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slovakya vs Romanya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya and Romanya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 50%, and the draw held. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Slovakya had 58% of the ball to Romanya's 42%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.86 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slovakya and 1.50 for Romanya.

What was the final score of Slovakya vs Romanya?

Slovakya 1-1 Romanya in the Euro on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya vs Romanya?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Slovakya 32%, draw 50%, Romanya 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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