Bourj 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh EU Bookmakers 27%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.75
-14% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bourj
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Shabab Al Ghazieh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.05.2025 Bourj 2-1 HT 2-1 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh LUBN
15.03.2025 Bourj 1-1 HT 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh Shabab Al Ghazieh LUBN
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj nicked a narrow win over Shabab Al Ghazieh 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bourj as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bourj had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bourj and 1.00 for Shabab Al Ghazieh.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Bourj 1-0 Shabab Al Ghazieh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Shabab Al Ghazieh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bourj win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bourj 41%, draw 30%, Shabab Al Ghazieh 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bourj), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bourj) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
26 Jun 2025
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