Safa 3-3 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.95
No
62%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.4pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 23%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
2.59/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.34
+118% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Safa
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13.05.2025 Safa Safa 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
13.04.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-1 HT 1-1 Safa Safa LUBN
12.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 0-2 HT 0-1 Safa Safa LUBN
POST-MATCH Safa vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa and Al Nejmeh couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Safa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Safa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Safa and 0.67 for Al Nejmeh.

What was the final score of Safa vs Al Nejmeh?

Safa 3-3 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Safa 41%, draw 30%, Al Nejmeh 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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