Buffalo 1-4 Steel City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.23
Over 2.5
66%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.4pp
34%
Under 2.5
41%
-6.8pp
66%
Over 2.5
59%
+6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.7pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buffalo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Steel City EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buffalo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Steel City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
22.05.2025 Steel City Steel City 2-1 HT 0-1 Buffalo USL2
POST-MATCH Buffalo vs Steel City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steel City ran out comfortable winners over Buffalo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Steel City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Buffalo vs Steel City?

Buffalo 1-4 Steel City in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buffalo vs Steel City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Steel City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buffalo 37%, draw 19%, Steel City 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steel City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Steel City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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