Nona 0-1 The Villages — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nona EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY The Villages EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.10
-44% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
218 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nona
2W-2D-0L
AWAY The Villages
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
04.07.2024 Nona Nona 2-1 The Villages The Villages USL2
09.07.2023 The Villages The Villages 2-2 Nona Nona USL2
15.06.2023 Nona Nona 0-0 The Villages The Villages USL2
10.07.2022 Nona Nona 1-0 HT 0-0 The Villages The Villages USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nona
0-1
AWAY The Villages
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Nona vs The Villages
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Villages edged past Nona 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; The Villages found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nona had 60% of the ball to The Villages's 40%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nona had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nona and 0.75 for The Villages.

What was the final score of Nona vs The Villages?

Nona 0-1 The Villages in the USA - USL League 2 on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nona vs The Villages?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nona win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nona 39%, draw 31%, The Villages 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Nona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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