Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tampa Bay Rowdies v Indy Eleven — Team-Based Signals
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
1-3
HT 1-2
Tampa Bay Rowdies
USLP
2-0
HT 1-0
Indy Eleven
USLP
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 Indy Eleven — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies saw off Indy Eleven 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Tampa Bay Rowdies had 45% of the ball to Indy Eleven's 55%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.76 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tampa Bay Rowdies had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 0.33 for Indy Eleven.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Tampa Bay Rowdies 3-1 Indy Eleven in the USL Championship on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Indy Eleven?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tampa Bay Rowdies 42%, draw 24%, Indy Eleven 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.