Loudoun United vs Louisville City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Loudoun United v Louisville City — Team-Based Signals
Loudoun United vs Louisville City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Louisville City
USLP
Loudoun United 1-4 Louisville City — Actual Match Statistics
Louisville City ran out comfortable winners over Loudoun United 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Louisville City made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Loudoun United had 76% of the ball to Louisville City's 24%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Loudoun United.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Louisville City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Loudoun United and 1.50 for Louisville City.
What was the final score of Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Loudoun United 1-4 Louisville City in the USL Championship on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Loudoun United vs Louisville City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Loudoun United 35%, draw 28%, Louisville City 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.