Japonya 1-1 İsveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 26 Jun 2026

Japonya
1-1 HT 0-0
İsveç
📅26/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup – 2026

Japonya vs İsveç Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
13%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.21
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.25
X/1
21%
5.29
X/2
15%
6.63
X/X
12%
4.5
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.57
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Japonya v İsveç — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç EU Bookmakers 34%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
0.61/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.05/1.58
-100% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
15.0 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Japonya 1-1 İsveç — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya
1-1
AWAY İsveç
1.21 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
378 Passes 312
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Japonya vs İsveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya and İsveç shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Japonya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Japonya had 52% of the ball to İsveç's 48%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.21 to 0.64.

What was the final score of Japonya vs İsveç?

Japonya 1-1 İsveç in the World Cup on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya vs İsveç?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Japonya 45%, draw 22%, İsveç 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Japonya), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Japonya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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