Senegal 5-0 Irak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 26 Jun 2026

Senegal
5-0 HT 1-0
Irak
📅26/06/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.22
Draw
17%
5.71
Away
10%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.36
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
4%
25.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
33%
3.76
X/2
2%
24.8
X/X
8%
9.19
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
5%
21.8
2/X
5%
30.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.76 — our 33% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
77%
-3.7pp
17%
Draw
14%
+2.4pp
10%
Away Win
8%
+1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Senegal EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Irak EU Bookmakers 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
Crosses 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Senegal
5-0
AWAY Irak
3.01 xG 0.14
69% Ball Possession 31%
28 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
517 Passes 184
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
51 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Senegal vs Irak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Senegal swept aside Irak 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Senegal as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Senegal had 69% of the ball to Irak's 31%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 3.01 to 0.14.

What was the final score of Senegal vs Irak?

Senegal 5-0 Irak in the World Cup on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Senegal vs Irak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Senegal win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Senegal 74%, draw 17%, Irak 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Senegal), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Senegal) ✓ Over 2.5
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