Türkiye 3-2 ABD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 26 Jun 2026

Türkiye
3-2 HT 2-1
ABD
📅26/06/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup – 2026

Türkiye vs ABD Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.15
Over 2.5
44%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
4.06
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.02
6+ Goals
7%
9.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 33% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.8
1/2
3%
23.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
10%
7.08
X/2 EV+ ✗
20%
5.05
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
5%
30.5
2/2
23%
2.86
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · X/2 at 5.05 — our 20% vs market 15.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
43%
+13.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
57%
-13.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkiye v ABD — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
– Crosses 20.0
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Türkiye vs ABD Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkiye
1W-0D-2L
AWAY ABD
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.18
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 561
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 25
5 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.06.2025 ABD ABD 1-2 HT 1-2 Türkiye Türkiye HAZTUR
01.06.2014 ABD ABD 2-1 HT 1-0 Türkiye Türkiye HAZ
29.05.2010 ABD ABD 2-1 HT 0-1 Türkiye Türkiye HAZ

Türkiye 3-2 ABD — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Türkiye
3-2
AWAY ABD
3.05 xG 2.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
335 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Türkiye vs ABD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye edged past ABD 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was ABD at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Türkiye had 47% of the ball to ABD's 53%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 3.05 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, ABD led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Türkiye and 1.67 for ABD.

What was the final score of Türkiye vs ABD?

Türkiye 3-2 ABD in the World Cup on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye vs ABD?

Before kick-off our model rated an ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Türkiye 29%, draw 25%, ABD 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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