Tunus 1-3 Hollanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup, 26 Jun 2026

📅26/06/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
16.01
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
76%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.84
2-3 Goals
34%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
31.0
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
3%
34.0
X/2
16%
3.85
X/X
5%
10.8
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
54%
1.25
2/X
4%
30.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
4%
+7.1pp
13%
Draw
11%
+2.1pp
76%
Away Win
85%
-9.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tunus EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda EU Bookmakers 90%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.26/3.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-59% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -68%
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 570 · 88%
10.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.6 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tunus
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hollanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.02.2009 Tunus Tunus 1-1 HT 0-0 Hollanda Hollanda HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tunus
1-3
AWAY Hollanda
0.62 xG 1.85
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
199 Passes 602
77% Pass Accuracy 93%
11 Box Touches 44
13 Crosses 27
POST-MATCH Tunus vs Hollanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hollanda beat Tunus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hollanda as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tunus had 29% of the ball to Hollanda's 71%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 0.62 to 1.85.

What was the final score of Tunus vs Hollanda?

Tunus 1-3 Hollanda in the World Cup on 26/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tunus vs Hollanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Tunus 11%, draw 13%, Hollanda 76%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hollanda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hollanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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