Luckenwalde 2-2 Meuselwitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.55
No
53%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.5pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.54/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.94
+14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Meuselwitz
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-0 HT 1-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
18.08.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
11.03.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-4 HT 1-2 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
02.10.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 3-1 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
28.01.2022 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-2 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
09.08.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-1 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luckenwalde
2-2
AWAY Meuselwitz
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde and Meuselwitz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Luckenwalde had 56% of the ball to Meuselwitz's 44%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.50 for Meuselwitz.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz?

Luckenwalde 2-2 Meuselwitz in the Germany - Regional League on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Meuselwitz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 32%, draw 30%, Meuselwitz 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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