KR Reykjavik 1-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over Pick
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
38%
4-5
29%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.3pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik The Market 46%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.99/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.49
+20% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
25.3 Crosses 22.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Breidablik
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.76 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
235 Passes 364
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Breidablik Breidablik 3-3 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
21.07.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 4-2 HT 3-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
28.04.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
01.10.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-3 HT 1-3 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
06.08.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 3-4 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
13.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-1
AWAY Breidablik
1.25 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
286 Passes 205
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik and Breidablik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Breidablik at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 58% of the ball to Breidablik's 42%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.25 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KR Reykjavik and 2.83 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

KR Reykjavik 1-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 34%, draw 24%, Breidablik 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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