La Serena 0-2 Cobresal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Serena EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobresal EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.39/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.38
-6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
15.1 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Serena
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cobresal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
220 Passes 225
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2025 La Serena La Serena 1-1 HT 0-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİLİK
24.02.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 3-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
28.01.2025 Cobresal Cobresal 1-2 HT 0-1 La Serena La Serena ŞİLİK
06.08.2022 Cobresal Cobresal 1-1 HT 1-0 La Serena La Serena ŞİL
12.03.2022 La Serena La Serena 2-3 HT 1-1 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
10.10.2021 La Serena La Serena 2-1 HT 2-0 Cobresal Cobresal ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Serena
0-2
AWAY Cobresal
1.61 xG 1.50
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
522 Passes 175
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
33 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Serena vs Cobresal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cobresal saw off La Serena 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was La Serena at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, La Serena had 70% of the ball to Cobresal's 30%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.61 to 1.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Serena and 1.67 for Cobresal.

What was the final score of La Serena vs Cobresal?

La Serena 0-2 Cobresal in the Chile - Premier League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Serena vs Cobresal?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Serena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split La Serena 46%, draw 26%, Cobresal 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (La Serena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Serena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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