PFC Beroe 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.88/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.00
+1% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
03.11.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
31.03.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
07.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BULK
26.09.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
18.03.2023 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 1-3 HT 1-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe and CSKA 1948 Sofia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 41% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 59%, shots finished 9-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.00 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

PFC Beroe 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 35%, draw 23%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
26 Jul 2025
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