CSKA Sofia 1-1 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.16
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
82%
-18.0pp
24%
Draw
13%
+11.0pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 8%
-11% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.09/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.41
-6% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -13%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Spartak Varna
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 5-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
26.04.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
15.12.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
03.12.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
03.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
18.03.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
1-1
AWAY Spartak Varna
74% Ball Possession 26%
16 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia and Spartak Varna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. CSKA Sofia carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 74% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 26%, shots finished 16-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.00 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

CSKA Sofia 1-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 64%, draw 24%, Spartak Varna 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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