El Nacional vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-2
Libertad
EKV1
4-2
HT 2-1
Libertad
EKV2
El Nacional 2-2 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional and Libertad shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, El Nacional had 54% of the ball to Libertad's 46%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 1.32 to 1.76.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for El Nacional and 1.50 for Libertad.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Libertad?
El Nacional 2-2 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 38%, draw 26%, Libertad 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (El Nacional), Under 2.5 went the other way.