Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.14/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.34
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.0 Crosses 13.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
275 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2025 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
08.10.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
24.03.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
07.09.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
06.03.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
26.09.2022 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.03 xG 0.38
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 0
419 Passes 263
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima squeezed past Deportivo Pereira 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Deportes Tolima found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 40%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.03 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.50 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?

Deportes Tolima 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 39%, draw 27%, Deportivo Pereira 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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