Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atletico Nacional 1-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Atletico Nacional carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 54% of the ball to Santa Fe's 46%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.45 to 1.51.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.00 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Atletico Nacional 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 55%, draw 24%, Santa Fe 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No went the other way.