Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Fe v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Santa Fe 1-2 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional edged past Santa Fe 2-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santa Fe had 49% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 51%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.29 to 1.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Santa Fe and 2.00 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?
Santa Fe 1-2 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 28%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.