America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
America de Cali v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
America de Cali 1-3 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima got the better of America de Cali 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, America de Cali had 61% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 39%, shots finished 24-13, expected goals 0.85 to 2.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for America de Cali and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.
What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
America de Cali 1-3 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportes Tolima?
Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 49%, draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.