Kızılyıldız 7-1 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.11
Away
18%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-18.7pp
16%
Draw
9%
+7.0pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.76/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/2.16
+52% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
476 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 81%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
27.5 Crosses 18.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
4W-0D-0L
AWAY OFK Beograd
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.83 xG 1.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
454 Passes 238
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-2 HT 3-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
06.04.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-1 HT 3-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
26.03.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-3 HT 3-3 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRBK
10.11.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
7-1
AWAY OFK Beograd
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 5
15 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız swept aside OFK Beograd 7-1. Half-time: 2-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 63% of the ball to OFK Beograd's 37%, shots finished 22-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.50 for OFK Beograd.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd?

Kızılyıldız 7-1 OFK Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 66%, draw 16%, OFK Beograd 18%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
26 Jul 2025
00:00 Radnicki Nis vs Mladost Lucani Analysis →
21:00 Radnik Surdulica vs Backa Topola Analysis →