Viborg 1-0 Lyngby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
4.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.1
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
21%
4.26
X/2
9%
10.15
X/X
9%
5.63
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
10%
7.12
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyngby EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -17%
1.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.59
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.7 Crosses 17.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lyngby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
384 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.05.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 3-1 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
21.04.2024 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-1 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
17.03.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 2-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
07.10.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
28.08.2022 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-0
AWAY Lyngby
1.25 xG 2.31
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
267 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Lyngby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg edged past Lyngby 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viborg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Viborg had 39% of the ball to Lyngby's 61%, shots finished 14-22, expected goals 1.25 to 2.31 — on chances, Lyngby could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viborg and 1.67 for Lyngby.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Lyngby?

Viborg 1-0 Lyngby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Lyngby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Viborg 49%, draw 24%, Lyngby 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ BTTS No
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