Valur vs Afturelding Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valur v Afturelding — Team-Based Signals
Valur vs Afturelding Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Valur edged past Afturelding 4-3. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Valur and 0.33 for Afturelding.
What was the final score of Valur vs Afturelding?
Valur 4-3 Afturelding in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valur vs Afturelding?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Valur 63%, draw 20%, Afturelding 16%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.