Vikingur R. 4-1 Vestri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 Aug 2025

📅26/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
68%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Vikingur R. win — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.2pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.1pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Vestri The Market 14%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
2.13/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.92
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +51%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 74%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.2 Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Vestri
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.11 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 4
438 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.05.2025 Vestri Vestri 0-1 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
11.08.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 Vestri Vestri İZL
20.05.2024 Vestri Vestri 1-4 HT 1-3 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
02.10.2021 Vestri Vestri 0-3 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
4-1
AWAY Vestri
3.72 xG 1.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
557 Passes 237
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Vestri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. cruised past Vestri 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 68% of the ball to Vestri's 32%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 3.72 to 1.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Vikingur R. and 0.50 for Vestri.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Vestri?

Vikingur R. 4-1 Vestri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Vestri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 68%, draw 19%, Vestri 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
26 Aug 2025
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