Twente (K) 4-0 Osijek (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
Over Pick
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
33%
4-5
38%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.6pp
19%
Draw
8%
+11.0pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+57% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Osijek (K)
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.09.2024 Osijek (K) Osijek (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 Twente (K) Twente (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente (K)
4-0
AWAY Osijek (K)
71% Ball Possession 29%
38 Total Shots 2
16 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Twente (K) vs Osijek (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) ran out comfortable winners over Osijek (K) 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Twente (K) had 71% of the ball to Osijek (K)'s 29%, shots finished 38-2.

What was the final score of Twente (K) vs Osijek (K)?

Twente (K) 4-0 Osijek (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente (K) vs Osijek (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Twente (K) 66%, draw 19%, Osijek (K) 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
26 Sep 2024
19:45 PSG (K) vs Juventus (K) Analysis →
20:00 Chênois GE (K) vs Roma (K) Analysis →
20:00 ZNK Mura (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) Analysis →
21:00 Real Madrid (K) vs Sporting CP (K) Analysis →
21:00 Manchester City (K) vs Paris (K) Analysis →
21:15 Celtic (K) vs Vorskla Poltava (K) Analysis →