ZNK Mura (K) 0-5 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
48%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.23
Over Pick
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
39%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
12%
+14.2pp
26%
Draw
18%
+8.1pp
48%
Away Win
70%
-22.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ZNK Mura (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% /
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ZNK Mura (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2024 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 ZNK Mura (K) ZNK Mura (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ZNK Mura (K)
0-5
AWAY St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ZNK Mura (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) cruised past ZNK Mura (K) 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ZNK Mura (K) had 39% of the ball to St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)'s 61%, shots finished 4-17.

What was the final score of ZNK Mura (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

ZNK Mura (K) 0-5 St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ZNK Mura (K) vs St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split ZNK Mura (K) 26%, draw 26%, St. Pölten-Spratzern (K) 48%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten-Spratzern (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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