Chênois GE (K) 2-7 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.38
Over Pick
60%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
40%
4-5
26%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+11.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.5pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chênois GE (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -43%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
280 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 57.0
Crosses 30.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chênois GE (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Roma (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Chênois GE (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chênois GE (K)
2-7
AWAY Roma (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chênois GE (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma (K) cruised past Chênois GE (K) 7-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 7-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Chênois GE (K) had 51% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 49%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Chênois GE (K) vs Roma (K)?

Chênois GE (K) 2-7 Roma (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chênois GE (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chênois GE (K) 28%, draw 21%, Roma (K) 51%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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