Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sao Paulo v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals
Sao Paulo vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Sao Paulo
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Botafogo
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sao Paulo
BR1
Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics
Sao Paulo and Botafogo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Sao Paulo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.
On the day, Sao Paulo had 59% of the ball to Botafogo's 41%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.09 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Botafogo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sao Paulo and 1.00 for Botafogo.
What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Botafogo?
Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo in the Copa Libertadores on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Botafogo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 43%, draw 31%, Botafogo 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Paulo), BTTS No went the other way.