Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Haimen Codion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
53%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.82
Over
53%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.84
No
48%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
40%
4-5
22%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangxi Hengchen The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Haimen Codion The Market 23%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.06
0.45 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.08
Great Attackvs comparable teams Average
Great Defensevs comparable teams Bad
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.9 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Haimen Codion
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.29 xG 0.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
280 Passes 284
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2025 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion 3-4 HT 2-3 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen ÇİN2
21.09.2024 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion 1-3 HT 0-1 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen ÇİN2
17.08.2024 Guangxi Hengchen Guangxi Hengchen 5-0 HT 4-0 Haimen Codion Haimen Codion ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangxi Hengchen
2-1
AWAY Haimen Codion
2.31 xG 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
372 Passes 227
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Guangxi Hengchen squeezed past Haimen Codion 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Guangxi Hengchen as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 53% and both teams to score at 52%. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.82, roughly 55%.

By the numbers, Guangxi Hengchen had 59% of the ball to Haimen Codion's 41%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 2.31 to 0.33 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guangxi Hengchen's control.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Guangxi Hengchen had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Guangxi Hengchen and 1.33 for Haimen Codion.

Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion Result & Final Score

Guangxi Hengchen 2-1 Haimen Codion in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Guangxi Hengchen vs Haimen Codion Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangxi Hengchen win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 53%, draw 23%, Haimen Codion 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guangxi Hengchen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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