Hogaborgs BK 2-4 Nosaby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nosaby IF EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.50/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.95
-21% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hogaborgs BK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Nosaby IF
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
06.06.2025 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 0-4 HT 0-2 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
05.10.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 3-0 HT 2-0 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF İSÇ4
23.06.2024 Nosaby IF Nosaby IF 2-1 HT 2-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Hogaborgs BK vs Nosaby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nosaby IF saw off Hogaborgs BK 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hogaborgs BK at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hogaborgs BK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Hogaborgs BK and 0.67 for Nosaby IF.

What was the final score of Hogaborgs BK vs Nosaby IF?

Hogaborgs BK 2-4 Nosaby IF in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hogaborgs BK vs Nosaby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hogaborgs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hogaborgs BK 49%, draw 22%, Nosaby IF 29%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hogaborgs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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