Clermont 1-1 Le Mans FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 26 Sep 2025

Clermont
1-1 HT 1-0
Le Mans FC
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 2 – 2025/2026

Clermont vs Le Mans FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 33% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.01
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
18%
5.6
X/2
13%
5.56
X/X
12%
3.94
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
14%
3.97
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Clermont v Le Mans FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Mans FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.08/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.87
-8% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +112%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.6 Crosses 10.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Clermont vs Le Mans FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Le Mans FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 0.41
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
553 Passes 182
87% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 6
36 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.11.2019 Clermont Clermont 0-1 HT 0-1 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
08.02.2013 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
31.08.2012 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
09.03.2012 Clermont Clermont 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2
14.10.2011 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR2
18.03.2011 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Mans FC Le Mans FC FR2

Clermont 1-1 Le Mans FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
1-1
AWAY Le Mans FC
1.76 xG 2.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 13
319 Passes 357
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 46
9 Crosses 40
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Le Mans FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont and Le Mans FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Clermont had 46% of the ball to Le Mans FC's 54%, shots finished 8-24, expected goals 1.76 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Mans FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Clermont and 1.00 for Le Mans FC.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Le Mans FC?

Clermont 1-1 Le Mans FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Le Mans FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Clermont win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Clermont 38%, draw 26%, Le Mans FC 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Clermont), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Clermont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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