Rodez vs Pau Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rodez v Pau — Team-Based Signals
Rodez vs Pau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Rodez
FR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
4-1
HT 1-0
Rodez
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-0
Pau
FR2
2-2
HT 2-0
Rodez
FR2
2-3
HT 1-3
Pau
FR2
Pau nicked a narrow win over Rodez 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Rodez at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rodez had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rodez and 1.67 for Pau.
What was the final score of Rodez vs Pau?
Rodez 1-2 Pau in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rodez vs Pau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rodez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rodez 42%, draw 27%, Pau 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.