Troyes vs Annecy Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Troyes v Annecy — Team-Based Signals
Troyes vs Annecy Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
Troyes 3-1 Annecy — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes saw off Annecy 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Troyes had 47% of the ball to Annecy's 53%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.15 to 0.74.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Annecy led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Troyes and 0.75 for Annecy.
What was the final score of Troyes vs Annecy?
Troyes 3-1 Annecy in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Troyes vs Annecy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Troyes 62%, draw 23%, Annecy 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.