Grenoble 0-0 Bastia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.64
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
11%
6.06
X/2
9%
5.03
X/X
15%
3.93
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.49
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenoble EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bastia EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -29%
1.17/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.13
-11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
15.6 Crosses 18.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grenoble
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bastia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 342
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Bastia Bastia 2-3 HT 1-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
03.01.2025 Grenoble Grenoble 3-2 HT 1-1 Bastia Bastia FR2
02.03.2024 Bastia Bastia 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
02.09.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-0 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
28.01.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 0-1 HT 0-0 Bastia Bastia FR2
13.08.2022 Bastia Bastia 3-0 HT 2-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenoble
0-0
AWAY Bastia
0.35 xG 0.21
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
399 Passes 207
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grenoble vs Bastia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grenoble and Bastia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grenoble had 62% of the ball to Bastia's 38%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.35 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bastia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grenoble and 1.50 for Bastia.

What was the final score of Grenoble vs Bastia?

Grenoble 0-0 Bastia in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenoble vs Bastia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bastia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Grenoble 31%, draw 30%, Bastia 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bastia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bastia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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