Zob Ahan 0-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.41
Over 2.5
37%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.93
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
6.1
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.5pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zob Ahan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
0.86/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.02
-23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zob Ahan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
07.03.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-0 HT 1-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
04.10.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 0-4 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
21.04.2024 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 2-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
02.11.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
24.04.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-0 HT 0-0 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan IRAN
19.12.2022 Zob Ahan Zob Ahan 1-0 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak nicked a narrow win over Zob Ahan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zob Ahan at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zob Ahan and 1.17 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Zob Ahan 0-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zob Ahan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zob Ahan win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zob Ahan 44%, draw 32%, Aluminium Arak 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zob Ahan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zob Ahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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