Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
16%
4.44
6+ Goals
7%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 34% vs market 33.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
9%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 50%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.00/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.50
+28% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
19.08.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-1 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
06.02.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
20.01.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
13.09.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
16.08.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-2 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
19.04.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-2 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin and Esteghlal Khuzestan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 1.50 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 26%, draw 33%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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