Alianza Universidad 2-3 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

Alianza Universidad
2-3 HT 0-2
Sport Boys
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Peru - Premier League – 2025

Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alianza Universidad v Sport Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +14%
1.97/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.16
-34% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
20.4 Crosses 15.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Universidad
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
307 Passes 262
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.05.2025 Sport Boys Sport Boys 4-2 HT 2-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
05.08.2021 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 2-0 HT 2-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
24.04.2021 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
17.10.2020 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 0-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
10.11.2019 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad 2-0 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
26.05.2019 Sport Boys Sport Boys 1-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER

Alianza Universidad 2-3 Sport Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
2-3
AWAY Sport Boys
2.53 xG 2.89
78% Ball Possession 22%
24 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
479 Passes 93
88% Pass Accuracy 59%
40 Box Touches 19
42 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys edged past Alianza Universidad 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Sport Boys found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 78% of the ball to Sport Boys's 22%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 2.53 to 2.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Universidad had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alianza Universidad and 1.00 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys?

Alianza Universidad 2-3 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Universidad win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 39%, draw 30%, Sport Boys 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alianza Universidad), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Universidad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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