ADT vs Alianza Atletico Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Alianza Atletico — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
ADT
PER
2-2
HT 2-1
ADT
PER
ADT 1-0 Alianza Atletico — Actual Match Statistics
ADT nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, ADT had 62% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 38%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.96 to 0.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold ADT's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for ADT and 1.17 for Alianza Atletico.
What was the final score of ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
ADT 1-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Alianza Atletico?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ADT 56%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.