Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 UTC Cajamarca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.99
No
46%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
65%
-3.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
54%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 17%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.62/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.47
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
22.3 Crosses 15.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-2D-2L
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 1.43
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
247 Passes 244
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
13.07.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
26.01.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
03.09.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
16.04.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-2 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0-0
AWAY UTC Cajamarca
1.21 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
239 Passes 359
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso and UTC Cajamarca played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportivo Garcilaso at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 42% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 58%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.21 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 1.00 for UTC Cajamarca.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca?

Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs UTC Cajamarca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 61%, draw 21%, UTC Cajamarca 18%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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