Benfica 2-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
76%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.67
Away
9%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.02
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.08
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.76
2-3
45%
1.8
4-5
26%
3.07
6+
8%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.54
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
3%
20.5
X/1
23%
3.7
X/2
4%
18.3
X/X
9%
6.78
2/1
3%
23.85
2/2
4%
16.75
2/X
3%
24.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Benfica The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente The Market 13%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.76
0.64 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.88
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
38 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
24 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.77 xG 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
461 Passes 389
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
28.09.2024 Benfica Benfica 5-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
04.02.2024 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
26.08.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
29.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
13.11.2022 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
2 - 1
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.24 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 7
280 Passes 313
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 19
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Benfica vs Gil Vicente
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Benfica nicked a narrow win over Gil Vicente 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Gil Vicente saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.24 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 3.17 a game for Benfica against 0.67 for Gil Vicente.

Benfica vs Gil Vicente Result & Final Score

Benfica 2 - 1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Benfica vs Gil Vicente Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Benfica 76%, draw 15%, Gil Vicente 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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