Benfica 5-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.18
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.74
2-3 Goals
41%
2.03
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.33
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
30.0
X/1
18%
3.41
X/2
4%
29.0
X/X
8%
10.05
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
4%
22.3
2/X
5%
29.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
79%
-8.2pp
19%
Draw
14%
+4.9pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 11%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -5%
2.83/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.93
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
475 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
37.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.1 Crosses 10.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.33 xG 0.65
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
448 Passes 354
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
38 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Benfica Benfica 3-0 HT 2-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
26.08.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-3 HT 0-1 Benfica Benfica POR
29.04.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
13.11.2022 Benfica Benfica 3-1 HT 2-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
02.02.2022 Benfica Benfica 1-2 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
21.08.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 0-2 HT 0-0 Benfica Benfica POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica
5-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
3.59 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
417 Passes 438
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benfica vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica ran out comfortable winners over Gil Vicente 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Benfica had 50% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 50%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 3.59 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Benfica and 0.83 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Benfica vs Gil Vicente?

Benfica 5-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Benfica 71%, draw 19%, Gil Vicente 11%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
28 Sep 2024
17:30 Estrela vs Moreirense Analysis →
20:00 Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes Analysis →