Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Casa Pia v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Casa Pia
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
PORLC
Casa Pia 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Casa Pia and Vitoria Guimaraes couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
On the day, Casa Pia had 38% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.98 to 0.60.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Casa Pia had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Casa Pia and 0.20 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Casa Pia 1-1 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 25%, draw 28%, Vitoria Guimaraes 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), BTTS No went the other way.